IPES - IPES 2012 Program

8:00-9:00		Breakfast/registration	Main Lounge, Newcomb Hall
AM Chairs	South Meeting Room	David Lake
	Commonwealth Room	David Stasavage
	Kaleidoscope Room	Layna Mosley
9:00-9:30	South Meeting Room	Isa Camyar, University of Pennsylvania Bahar Ulupinar,	"War Inc. or Peace Inc.? Firms, War and the Political Micro-Economy of International Conflict" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Michael Aklin, New York University	"Guilty By Association: Information, Transparency, and the Contagion of Financial Crises" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Michael Bechtel, ETH Zurich Kenneth Scheve, Yale University	"Individual Preferences for International Environmental Cooperation" (PRESENTATION)

9:30-10:00	South Meeting Room	Brenton Peterson, University of Virginia	"For Safety or Self-Interest? The Political Economy of State Travel Advisories" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Stephen Weymouth, Georgetown University J. Bradford Jensen, Georgetown University Dennis P. Quinn,	"Currency Undervaluation Provokes Trade Disputes in Some Settings but Not Others" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Thomas Bernauer, ETH ZUrich Robert Gampfer, ETH Zurich	"Burden Sharing in Global Climate Change Policy: Could Climatic Shocks Make Unfair Deals More Acceptable?" (PRESENTATION)

10:00-10:30	South Meeting Room	Kevin Young, University of Massachusetts, Amherst Stefano Pagliari, London School of Economics	"Leveraged Interests: The Role of Private Sector Coalitions in Financial Industry Lobbying Power"?" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Henrik Enderlein, Hertie School of Governance Christoph Trebesch, Laura von Daniels,	"Democracies Default Differently: Regime Type and Sovereign Debt Crisis Resolution" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Kaj Thomsson, Maastricht University Christine Gutekunst, Maastricht University	"A Model of International Public Goods Negotiations with Heterogeneous Agents" (PRESENTATION)

10:30-10:50		Break

10:50-11:20	South Meeting Room	John Ahlquist, University of Wisconsin, Madison Ben Ansell, University of Minnesota	"A Redistributive Ramsey Rule? Electoral institutions, credit, and political responses to economic polarization" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	J. Lawrence Broz, University of California, San Diego	"The Federal Reserve as Global Lender of Last Resort, 2007-2010" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Phillip Lipscy, Stanford University	"The Electoral Politics of Energy Efficiency" (PRESENTATION)

11:20-11:50	South Meeting Room	Sarah Brooks, Ohio State University Marcus Kurtz, Ohio State University	"Interdependence, Endogeneity and Natural Resource Abundance: Rethinking the Political Resource Curse" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Liam McGrath, University of Essex	"Political Systems and Debt Default: The Choice Between Domestic and External Default" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Erick Duchesne, University Laval Bruno Larue, University Laval Francoios Langlois, Binghamton University	"Food aid distributional patterns by delivery modes" (PRESENTATION)
11:50-12:20	South Meeting Room	David Leblang, University of Virginia William Bernhard, University of Illinois	"Bank Crises and Political Survival" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Laura von Daniels, Harvard University	"Fiscal institutions and sovereign risk perceptions: do investors value stronger centralization of budget decisions?" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Leonardo Baccini, Princeton University Edmund J. Malesky, University of California, San Diego	"Trade Liberalization, Heterogeneous Firms, and Lobbying Power: Evidence from Vietnam's Accession to the WTO" (PRESENTATION)

12:20-1:20		Lunch Break	Main Lounge, Newcomb Hall

PM Chairs	South Meeting Room	David Stasavage
	Commonwealth Room	Layna Mosley
	Kaleidoscope Room	Kenneth Scheve

1:20-1:50	South Meeting Room	Dustin Tingley, Harvard University Helen Milner, Princeton University	"Sailing the Water's Edge: Where Domestic Politics Meets Foreign Policy" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	David Bearce, University of Colorado at Boulder Kim-Lee Tuxhorn University of Colorado at Boulder	"Do Individuals with an International Business Orientation Really Prefer Exchange Rate Stability? Evidence from a Survey on Monetary/Exchange Rate Policy Preferences." (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Sijeong Lim, University of Washington Layna Mosley University of North Carolina Assem Prakash University of Washington	"Trade, Aid, and Labor Rights" (PRESENTATION)

1:50-2:20	South Meeting Room	Daniel Blake, IE Business School	"Managing Political Risk: Diversification or Specialization?" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Till Cordes, Hertie School of Governance	"The Democratic Debt Advantage Revisited: It is Veto Players" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Megumi Naoi, University of California, San Diego Arata Kuno,	"Framing Business Interests: How Campaigns Affect Firms’ Positions on Preferential Trade Agreements" (PRESENTATION)

2:20-2:50	South Meeting Room	Tim Buthe, Duke University	"Business Partisanship and Economic Globalization"
	Commonwealth Room	Stephen Kaplan, George Washington University	"Bubbles and Burdens: How Debt Structure Affects Post-Crisis Reforms" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Shahrzad Sabet, Harvard University	"Feelings First: Non-Material Factors as Moderators of Self-Interest Effects on Trade Preferences" (PRESENTATION)

2:50-3:10		Break

3:10-3:40	South Meeting Room	Jason McMann, Princeton University	"Explaining Attitudes toward Economic Integration: The Conditional Impact of National-Level Perceptions" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Christina Schneider, University of California, San Diego Benjamin F. Bohr,	"The Domestic Politics of International Financial Bailouts" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Julia Gray, University of Pennsylvania Raymond Hicks, Princeton University	"Investor Perceptions and Trade Agreements - An Experiment-Based Approach" (PRESENTATION)

3:40-4:10	South Meeting Room	Michael Smith, Columbia University	"Who Gets a Lifeline? A Political Economy of Corporate Bailouts" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Andrew Walter, London School of Economics	"Understanding and explaining international financial standards compliance" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Nikhar Gaikwad, Yale University Allison Carnegie, Yale University Cameron Ballard-Rosa, Yale University	"Economic Crisis and Sectoral Variation in Trade Policy" (PRESENTATION)

4:10-4:40	South Meeting Room	Johannes Urpelainen, Columbia University Sung Eun Kim, Columbia University	"Hegemonic Foreign Policy in a World of Regions: Buying Influence and Supporting Allies" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Sarah Brooks, Ohio State University Raphael da Cunha, Ohio State University	"Categories, Creditworthiness and Contagion: How Investors' Shortcuts Affect Sovereign Debt Markets" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Thomas Pepinsky, Cornell University	"Import Competition and American Decolonization, 1898-1959" (PRESENTATION)

5:00-8:30		Reception and Dinner	Ash Lawn-Highland

Schedule for Friday dinner:
5:00 pm - Board charters buses in front of Newcomb Hall
5:30 pm - Arrive at Ash Lawn-Highland, historic home of US President James Monroe
- Reception in Ash Lawn-Highland Barn and tours of main house/museum
6:45 pm - Dinner commences in the Ash Lawn-Highland Barn
8:30 pm - Board charter buses for return to conference hotels

Saturday, November 10


8:00-8:30		Breakfast	Main Lounge, Newcomb Hall

AM Chairs	South Meeting Room	Kenneth Scheve
	Commonwealth Room	Sonal Pandya
	Kaleidoscope Room	Judy Goldstein

8:30-9:00	South Meeting Room	Lucy Goodhart, Columbia University	"Becoming Red and Blue: Globalization, Skills, Preferences and Votes across American States" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Cristina Bodea, Michigan State University Raymond Hicks, Princeton University	"Central Bank Independence and Inflation: Updating the evidence"
	Kaleidoscope Room	Dave Ohls, University of Wisconsin	"Trade, Conflict, and the Strategic Incentives of Indirect Economic Interdependence" (PRESENTATION)

9:00-9:30	South Meeting Room	Daniela Campello, Princeton University	"International Economic Cycles and Voting Behavior in Latin America" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Jeffrey Chwieroth, London School of Economics	"Fashions and Fads in Finance: Contingent Policy Diffusion and the Political Economy of Sovereign Wealth Fund Creation" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Alastair Smith, New York University	"The Impact of Leader Turnout on the Onset and Resolution of WTO Disputes" (PRESENTATION)
9:30-10:00	South Meeting Room	Andrew Coe, Harvard University	"The Modern Economic Peace" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Yotam Margalit, Columbia University Jens Hainmueller, MIT Michael Bechtel, ETH Zurich	"Sharing the Pain: Explaining Public Opinion Towards International Financial Bailouts"
	Kaleidoscope Room	Hyeran Jo, Texas A&M University Kishore Gawande, Texas A&M University	"Trade Liberalization by Tariff Design: Carve-out, Phase-out and Tariff Cuts" (PRESENTATION)

10:00-10:15		Break

10:15-10:45	South Meeting Room	Constantine Boussalis, Harvard Law School Hal T. Nelson, Peter Noordijk,	"Social Capital, Democracy, and Trade Liberalization" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Erik Wibbels, Duke University Layna Mosley, University of North Carolina	"Who is 'the Market' and What Does It Want? Public Policy, Bond Markets, and Credit Default Swaps" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Christina Davis, Princeton University Andreas Fuchs, Kris Johnson, Princeton University	"State Control and the Effects of Foreign Relations on Bilateral Trade" (PRESENTATION)
10:45-11:15	South Meeting Room	Nita Rudra, University of Pittsburgh Ida Bastiaens, University of Pittsburgh	"Why Democracies Escalate the Race to the Bottom: International Trade and Government Revenues in Developing Countries" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Meredith Wilf, Princeton University	"A Stake in the International: Financial Services Firms and Basel III Regulatory Announcements" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Robert Gulotty, Stanford University	"Does Reciprocity Still Work? Disciplining non-tariff measures when production is global" (PRESENTATION)
11:15-11:45	South Meeting Room	Stefanie Walter, University of Heidelberg	"Distributional Politics in Times of Crisis: Eastern European Policy Responses to the 2008-2010 Global Economic Crisis" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Jana Grittersova, University of California, Riverside	"Foreign Banks, Reputation, and Sovereign Credit Ratings: Evidence from Transition Economies" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Martin Gassebner, ETH Zurich Peter Egger, ETH Zurich	"Does terrorism really deter trade?"

11:45-12:15	South Meeting Room	Brad LeVeck, University of California San Diego Emilie M. Hafner-Burton, University of California San Diego David G. Victor, University of California San Diego	"A Behavioral Approach to International Cooperation" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Randall Stone, University of Rochester Jeffrey B. Marshall,	"Strategic Entry: Multinationals, FDI, and Politics" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Michael Tomz, Stanford University Sungmin Rho, Stanford University	"Industry, Self-Interest, and Individual Preferences over Trade Policy" (PRESENTATION)

12:15-1:15		Lunch	Main Lounge, Newcomb Hall

PM Chairs	South Meeting Room	David Lake
	Commonwealth Room	Nita Rudra
	Kaleidoscope Room	David Leblang

1:15-1:45	South Meeting Room	Rachel Brewster, Duke Law School Adam Chilton, Harvard University	"Supplying Compliance: Domestic Sources of Trade Law and Policy" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Nathan Jensen, Washington University Noel P. Johnston, Washington University Chia-yi Lee, Washington University Abdulhadi Sahin, Washington University	"Economic Shock, Political Shifts, and Sovereign Theft: The Domestic and International Determinants of Investment Expropriation" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Steven Liao, University of Virginia	"Specifying Mobility: Trade, Inequality, and Democratization In Developing Countries" (PRESENTATION)
1:45-2:15	South Meeting Room	Faisal Ahmed, Oxford University	"Congressional Partisanship, Foreign Aid And Repression Abroad" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Sonal Pandya, University of Virginia	"Doctors With Borders: Occupational Licensing as an Implicit Barrier to High-Skill Migration" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Jennifer Tobin, Georgetown University Stephen Kosack, Harvard University	"Trade and Welfare: A Race to the Bottom or the Top?" (PRESENTATION)

2:15-2:45	South Meeting Room	Melissa Lee, Stanford University Melina R. Platas, Stanford University	"Vertical Aid Externalities: Evidence from the Case of PEPFAR" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Benjamin Graham, University of Southern California	"Political Risk Specialists: The Effect of Prior Experience on Firms' Political Risk Sensitivity" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Margaret Peters, University of Wisconsin-Madison	"Globalization and Industry Support for Immigration" (PRESENTATION)

2:45-3:00		Break

3:00-3:30	South Meeting Room	Felicity Vabulas, University of Chicago Jon Pevehouse, University of Wisconsin	"Foreign Lobbies and Foreign Aid: Is US Assistance for Sale?" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Quan Li, Texas A&M Guoyong Liang, UNCTAD	"Political Relations and Chinese Outbound Direct Investment: Evidence from Firm- and Dyadic-Level Tests" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	David Hsu, Princeton University	"Raise or Resist? Explaining Barriers to Temporary Migration during the Global Recession" (PRESENTATION)

3:30-4:00	South Meeting Room	Sarah Bermeo, Duke University	"Making Sense of the Dollars: What does Foreign Aid Really Measure?" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Pablo Pinto, Columbia University Santiago Pinto, West Virginia University	"Opportunistic Taxation under Varying Costs of Redeployment: Evidence from the Auto Industry in Latin America"
	Kaleidoscope Room	Adrian Shin, University of Michigan	"Mobility of Rights: Exchange Rates, Labor Mobility, and Immigration Policies in an Integrated World" (PRESENTATION)

4:00-4:30	South Meeting Room	Allison Carnegie, Yale University	"Instruments of Coercion: Aid and Trade as Substitute Policy Levers" (PRESENTATION)
	Commonwealth Room	Allison Kingsley, University of Vermont Benjamin Graham, University of Southern California Noel P. Johnston, Washington University	"How Sovereigns Steal: Political Constraints and the Choice between Transfer and Expropriation Rents" (PRESENTATION)
	Kaleidoscope Room	Margaret Peters, University of Wisconsin-Madison Judith Goldstein, Stanford University Douglas Rivers, Stanford University	"Support for Globalization in Good Times and Bad" (PRESENTATION)

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